{"updatedAt":"2026-09-22T04:35:02.971Z","paramsVersion":2,"quelleBund":"archiv","e10Abstand":0.0585,"revisionKorrektur":{"e5":{"wert":0,"n":5},"diesel":{"wert":0,"n":5},"e10":{"wert":0,"n":5}},"baenderFaktor":{"e10":{"kurz":2.1,"mittel":1.8,"lang":1.1},"e5":{"kurz":2.1,"mittel":1.8,"lang":1.05},"diesel":{"kurz":1.4,"mittel":1.35,"lang":1}},"termine":[{"datum":"2026-10-01","titel":"Tankrabatt 2: Energiesteuer −14 ct/l (01.10.–31.12.2026)","effektCt":-17,"status":"geplant","quelle":"Bund-Länder-Einigung 18.09.2026; Gesetz noch nicht verkündet (Bundestag muss Fristverzicht beschließen)","eingepreist":false}],"panel":{"stand":"2026-09-22","regionen":145,"tage":22,"fortgeschrieben":{"e5":["2026-09-21"],"diesel":["2026-09-21"]},"panelSeitTagen":34},"fuels":{"e10":{"heute":2.274,"stand":"2026-09-22","quelle":"panel","serie":[{"date":"2026-09-23","mid":2.269,"lo":2.23,"hi":2.324,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-24","mid":2.268,"lo":2.228,"hi":2.322,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-25","mid":2.267,"lo":2.207,"hi":2.342,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-26","mid":2.266,"lo":2.202,"hi":2.346,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-27","mid":2.265,"lo":2.194,"hi":2.363,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-28","mid":2.265,"lo":2.191,"hi":2.372,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-29","mid":2.265,"lo":2.179,"hi":2.38,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-30","mid":2.265,"lo":2.204,"hi":2.341,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-01","mid":2.265,"lo":2.199,"hi":2.368,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-02","mid":2.266,"lo":2.195,"hi":2.368,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-03","mid":2.266,"lo":2.19,"hi":2.369,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-04","mid":2.267,"lo":2.186,"hi":2.369,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-05","mid":2.267,"lo":2.18,"hi":2.37,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-06","mid":2.268,"lo":2.177,"hi":2.384,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false}],"besterTag":"2026-09-22","ersparnisJeLiter":0,"besterTagWoche":"2026-09-27","ersparnisWoche":0.009,"spanne":0.004,"trend":-0.0023,"oelKorrektur":0,"terminSprung":0,"baenderFaktor":{"kurz":2.1,"mittel":1.8,"lang":1.1},"zyklus":{"intervall":null,"tageSeitLetzterRunde":null},"guete":{"mae":{"kurz":0.0151,"mittel":0.032,"lang":0.0544},"bias":{"kurz":-0.0008,"mittel":-0.0018,"lang":-0.0031},"score":0.0289,"abdeckung":0.798,"stichprobe":2895},"trefferquote":0.55},"e5":{"heute":2.333,"stand":"2026-09-22","quelle":"panel","serie":[{"date":"2026-09-23","mid":2.329,"lo":2.289,"hi":2.383,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-24","mid":2.327,"lo":2.287,"hi":2.382,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-25","mid":2.326,"lo":2.268,"hi":2.4,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-26","mid":2.326,"lo":2.26,"hi":2.406,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-27","mid":2.325,"lo":2.253,"hi":2.423,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-28","mid":2.325,"lo":2.25,"hi":2.434,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-29","mid":2.325,"lo":2.239,"hi":2.441,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-30","mid":2.325,"lo":2.267,"hi":2.398,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-01","mid":2.325,"lo":2.261,"hi":2.423,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-02","mid":2.326,"lo":2.257,"hi":2.424,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-03","mid":2.326,"lo":2.254,"hi":2.424,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-04","mid":2.327,"lo":2.249,"hi":2.425,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-05","mid":2.327,"lo":2.243,"hi":2.425,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-06","mid":2.328,"lo":2.24,"hi":2.437,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false}],"besterTag":"2026-09-22","ersparnisJeLiter":0,"besterTagWoche":"2026-09-27","ersparnisWoche":0.008,"spanne":0.004,"trend":-0.0021,"oelKorrektur":0,"terminSprung":0,"baenderFaktor":{"kurz":2.1,"mittel":1.8,"lang":1.05},"zyklus":{"intervall":null,"tageSeitLetzterRunde":null},"guete":{"mae":{"kurz":0.0151,"mittel":0.032,"lang":0.0545},"bias":{"kurz":-0.0008,"mittel":-0.0018,"lang":-0.003},"score":0.02891,"abdeckung":0.798,"stichprobe":2895},"trefferquote":0.55},"diesel":{"heute":2.443,"stand":"2026-09-22","quelle":"panel","serie":[{"date":"2026-09-23","mid":2.452,"lo":2.414,"hi":2.504,"verdikt":"neutral","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-24","mid":2.456,"lo":2.418,"hi":2.508,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-25","mid":2.459,"lo":2.399,"hi":2.53,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-26","mid":2.463,"lo":2.396,"hi":2.545,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-27","mid":2.466,"lo":2.379,"hi":2.563,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-28","mid":2.47,"lo":2.369,"hi":2.58,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-29","mid":2.472,"lo":2.364,"hi":2.591,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-09-30","mid":2.475,"lo":2.382,"hi":2.577,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-01","mid":2.477,"lo":2.38,"hi":2.586,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-02","mid":2.48,"lo":2.38,"hi":2.591,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-03","mid":2.482,"lo":2.376,"hi":2.615,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-04","mid":2.484,"lo":2.376,"hi":2.621,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-05","mid":2.485,"lo":2.378,"hi":2.635,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false},{"date":"2026-10-06","mid":2.487,"lo":2.378,"hi":2.651,"verdikt":"teuer","runde":false}],"besterTag":"2026-09-22","ersparnisJeLiter":0,"besterTagWoche":"2026-09-23","ersparnisWoche":-0.009,"spanne":0.035,"trend":0.0073,"oelKorrektur":0,"terminSprung":0,"baenderFaktor":{"kurz":1.4,"mittel":1.35,"lang":1},"zyklus":{"intervall":null,"tageSeitLetzterRunde":null},"guete":{"mae":{"kurz":0.0206,"mittel":0.0463,"lang":0.0755},"bias":{"kurz":-0.0011,"mittel":-0.0033,"lang":-0.0077},"score":0.0406,"abdeckung":0.797,"stichprobe":2895},"trefferquote":0.73}},"referenz":{"quelle":"adac","datum":"2026-09-17","e10":2.308,"diesel":2.471,"eigenE10":2.302,"eigenDiesel":2.472,"abweichungE10":-0.006,"abweichungDiesel":0.001},"trefferquoteQuelle":"gemessen","zweitmeinung":{"e10":{"pBilliger3Tage":0.67,"pBilliger14Tage":0.79,"rat":2.23,"ratConfidence":0.31,"ratVerteilung":{"0":0.06,"1":0.16,"2":0.29,"3":0.46,"4":0.03},"modell":"jev-1.13.0","belegt":false},"diesel":{"pBilliger3Tage":0.1,"pBilliger14Tage":0.13,"rat":0.75,"ratConfidence":0.37,"ratVerteilung":{"0":0.48,"1":0.38,"2":0.05,"3":0.07,"4":0.02},"modell":"jev-1.13.0","belegt":false}},"jevGuete":{"n":0,"trefferquote":null,"brier":null,"belegt":false},"divergenz":{"e10":null,"e5":null,"diesel":null},"datenqualitaet":{"stufe":2.94,"confidence":0.77,"pWarnung":0.2,"verteilung":{"0":0,"1":0.02,"2":0.12,"3":0.75,"4":0.11},"modell":"jev-1.13.0","warnung":false,"gruende":[]},"lage":"Aktuell liegt E10 bei 2,274 €/L, Diesel bei 2,443 €/L, und die Preise pendeln in den kommenden zwei Wochen leicht um dieses Niveau, ohne spürbar zu sinken. Tanke heute am besten kurz vor 12 Uhr, bevor der übliche Mittagssprung die Preise anzieht."}